北京赛车pk10网上代理

当前位置:首页 > 新闻中心 > 行业动态

新闻中心

航运业巨变!两船型市场或将现史无前例的长期衰退
发布时间:2018-07-29浏览次数:376

航运业巨变!两船型市场或将现史无前例的长期衰退

 

北京赛车pk10网上代理QIHOUYINSUDAOZHIQUANQIUNENGYUANGONGYINGXIANGDITANZHUANXING,ZHEIYIBIANHUAJIANGHUIJIQUANQIUHANGYUNYEDAILAIJUDAYINGXIANG,SANHUOCHUANHEYOUCHUANXINGYEWEILAI15NIANJIANGCHUXIANSHIWUQIANLIDEZHANGQISHUAITUI,ERJIZHUANGXIANGCHUANHEHUAXUEPINCHUANZEBUSHOUNENGYUANZHUANXINGYINGXIANG。DUIYUCHUANDONGERYAN,WEILAIRUHEXUANZEHESHIDECHUANXINGTOUZIBIXULIJICAIQUXINGDONG。

ZIXUNJIGOUGUOJIHAIYANGZHANLVE(Maritime Strategies International,MSI)JINRIFABUBAOGAO,BAOGAOZHICHU,QUANQIUHANGYUNSHICHANGSUIRANYIZHICHUYUBODONGZHUANGTAI,DANZHIQIANCONGWEICHUXIANDAZONGSHANGPINXUQIUZHANGQIXIAJIANGDEQINGKUANG。KAOLVDAOMUQIANLUSHANGYUNSHUZHENGZAIGENJUMANZUZAI2050NIANQIANQUANQIUQIWENSHANGSHENGBUCHAOGUO1.5℃DEMUBIAOSHIXIANQUTANHUA,MSIRENWEI,RUGUOHANGYUNYEYEYAOMANZUMUBIAO,JIANGDUISANHUOCHUANHEYOUCHUANXINGYEZAOCHENGZHONGDAYINGXIANG,ZHEILIANGZHONGCHUANXINGDELIYONGLVJIANGZHANGQIWEICHIJIAODISHUIPING,WEIXIETOUZIZHEDESHOUYI,TONGSHIZENGJIAJIEDAIZHEDEJUFUFENGXIAN。MSIYINCIJIANYICONGZUIJIEJINHUASHIRANLIAODEXINGYEZHONGCHEZI。

JIANGJIANPAIZUOWEIBAOGAODEZHONGDIAN,MSIZHICHU,DAO2050NIANQUANQIUSHIYOUXIAOFEILIANGJIANGJIANSHAOYIBAN,MEITANXIAOFEILIANGJIANGJIANGDI80%,TIANRANQIXUQIUZEJIANGZAIDUANDUANQINEIDADAOFENGZHI,ZHIHOUHUIXIAJIANG。LINGYIFANGMIAN,HANGYUNSHICHANGDEBUFENCHUANXINGLINGYUZEXIANGDUIBUSHOUNENGYUANZHUANXINGDEYINGXIANG,BIRUJIZHUANGXIANGCHUANLINGYU。ERTANQINGHUAHEWUZHANHUOYUNZUHEHENDABILIDECHUANXINGLINGYUHUOJIANGJINGLISHUSHINIANDETINGZHIHUOXUQIUXIAJIANG。

航运业巨变!两船型市场或将现史无前例的长期衰退

 

TU:YUJI2020NIANZHI2035NIANYOULUNHESANHUOCHUANDESHOUYIHECHUANDUIJIAZHIBIANHUA

HAOWUYIWEN,YOUCHUANSHICHANGJIANGCHENGWEIZUIRONGYISHOUDITANZHUANXINGYINGXIANGDELINGYU。ZONGTIERYAN,MSIDEYUCEMOXINGBIAOMING,YOULUNXINGYEXUQIUJIANGXIAJIANGSANFENZHIYIYISHANG。SANHUOCHUANDEMEITANYUNSHUXUQIUYEJIANGJIANSHAOYIBANZUOYOU,BUGUO,SUIZHELIANGSHIHEXIAOXINGSANHUOMAOYIDEZENGZHANG,YUJI2020NIANZHI2035NIANSANHUOCHUANZHENGTIXUQIUJIANGXIAHUA14%,ZHIHOUHUIGUISHIDUZENGZHANG。

MSIBIAOSHI,SUIRANHANGYUNYEDEXUQIUXIAJIANGBINGFEIQIANSUOWEIYOU,DANZHEIZHONGXUQIUXIAJIANGDECHIXUXINGQUESHISHIWUQIANLI。ANZHAOMSIDEMOXING,CONG2025NIANKAISHI,YOUCHUANXUQIUJIANGZHUNIANXIAJIANG;WEILAI15NIANZHIDAO2035NIANZHIQIAN,SANHUOCHUANDEXUQIUYEJIANGZHUNIANXIAJIANG。XIANGBIZHIXIA,SUIRAN1980NIANDAIYOUCHUANXUQIUJIANGFUYECENGYIDUGAODA39%DEGUIMO,DANJINZAI5NIANZHIHOUYOUCHUANXUQIUJIUZAICISHANGZHANG。

需求大降将会严重影响船队的利用率,进而影响散货船和油船的盈利能力。市场的衰退会严重影响运力供给,因为船东开始削减新船订单并报废不经济的船舶。在MSI的预期中,2030年开始的20年里,油船船队运力将减少三分之一左右;而散货船船队运力将在2024年达到峰值,然后在2025年开始的20年间一直下滑长达19年,与2024年运力相比减少14%。

北京赛车pk10网上代理CHULECHUANDUIYUNLISUOSHUIZHIWAI,SANHUOCHUANHEYOUCHUANDECHUANDUIJIAZHIYEJIANGSHOUDAOYIDINGDAJI。DAO2030NIAN,5NIANCHUANLINGHAOWANGJIAOXINGSANHUOCHUANJIZHUNJIAGEJIANGBI2018NIANJIANGDI40%,TONGQIVLCCJIAZHIJIANGJIANGDI29%。

MSI预测,2018年至2030年,全球散货船价值将从1950亿美元下降至900亿美元,大幅贬值。2030年将成为散货船行业价值最低的一年,之后则将恢复增长。而在油船行业,到2045年船队价值将比2018年削减28%,2050年油船船队价值将从2018年的1850亿美元降至1000亿美元左右。

北京赛车pk10网上代理YINCI,MSIBIAOSHI,CHUANDONGBIXUXIANZAIJIUCAIQUXINGDONG,XUANZEHESHIDECHUANXINGTOUZI。KAOLVDAODABUFENCHUANDONGZAIJINXINGTOUZIPINGGUSHITONGCHANGANZHAO20NIANDECHUANBOSHENGMINGZHOUQILAIJISUAN,DANSHIKAOLVDAOYAOSHISHIHUANBAOJUCUO,ZHEIJIUYIWEIZHECHULEMUQIANZUILAOJIUDECHUANBO,SUOYOUTOUZIDECHUANBODOUJIANGSHOUDAODITANZHUANXINGDEZHONGDACHONGJI。

MSIRENWEI,ZAISANHUOCHUANHEYOUCHUANLINGYU,GONGJICEYUESHUSHIGUANJIAN。ZHIYOUJIANSHAODINGDAN,SANHUOCHUANHEYOUCHUANCAINENGCONGDITANZHUANXINGDECHONGJIZHONGHUIFU,CHUANBOLIYONGLVCAINENGHUISHENGDAODANGQIANSHUIPING。LINGWAI,CHUANBOXUANZEYEBIANDESHIFENZHONGYAO,DAXINGSANHUOCHUANYISHOUMEITANYINGXIANG,ZAIDITANZHUANXINGDEQINGKUANGXIAQIANJINGYOUQIANDAN;ERXIAOXINGSANHUOCHUANGENGRONGYIXIANGFEIMEITANSANZHUANGHUOWUZHUANYI,YINCIGENGJUDANXING。

与散货船和油船不同的是,集装箱船和化学品船则不受能源转型影响,直到2050年都将继续保持绝对增长,并且不断扩大市场份额。特别是通过向低碳和零碳型燃料转移、提高运营效率,这些细分船型领域在连接全球低碳经济方面前景光明。

XINXILAIYUAN:GUOJICHUANBOWANG

ag真人视讯【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】  pc蛋蛋【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】  幸运快乐8【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】  永利彩票【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】  世纪彩票【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】  加拿大28【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】  幸运28【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】  澳门新葡京娱乐城官方【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】  澳门百家乐【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】  澳门太阳娱乐城【上荣鼎复制rd1133.com网址】